Author: Rosalind M Eggo

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Preprints

Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for COVID-19 using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship

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  • Site-wide: 104
  • In epidemiology: 25
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 1,290
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  • Site-wide: 1,446

Early dynamics of transmission and control of 2019-nCoV: a mathematical modelling study

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  • Site-wide: 423
  • In infectious diseases: 150
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 5,393
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  • Site-wide: 6,718

Association between living with children and outcomes from COVID-19: an OpenSAFELY cohort study of 12 million adults in England

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  • Site-wide: 642
  • In epidemiology: 97
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  • Site-wide: 252
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Age-dependent effects in the transmission and control of COVID-19 epidemics

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  • Site-wide: 655
  • In epidemiology: 100
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 1,328
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  • Site-wide: 3,208

Estimated transmissibility and severity of novel SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Concern 202012/01 in England

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  • Site-wide: 850
  • In epidemiology: 116
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  • Site-wide: 103
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  • Site-wide: 199

Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths

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  • Site-wide: 930
  • In epidemiology: 122
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 16,814
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  • Site-wide: 13,684

Case fatality risk of the SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern B.1.1.7 in England

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  • Site-wide: 960
  • In infectious diseases: 288
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  • Site-wide: 92
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  • Site-wide: 26

UK prevalence of underlying conditions which increase the risk of severe COVID-19 disease: a point prevalence study using electronic health records

• Downloaded 6,607 times
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  • Site-wide: 1,371
  • In epidemiology: 170
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  • Site-wide: 288
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  • Site-wide: 1,283

Strategies to reduce the risk of SARS-CoV-2 re-introduction from international travellers

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  • Site-wide: 2,343
  • In epidemiology: 253
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 1,984
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  • Site-wide: 2,088

Transmission dynamics of Zika virus in island populations: a modelling analysis of the 2013-14 French Polynesia outbreak

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  • Site-wide: 2,825
  • In ecology: 18
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 79,461
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  • Site-wide: 115,983

Trends and clinical characteristics of COVID-19 vaccine recipients: a federated analysis of 57.9 million patients primary care records in situ using OpenSAFELY.

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  • Site-wide: 2,836
  • In public and global health: 92
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  • Site-wide: 235
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  • Site-wide: 780

The effect of control strategies that reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China

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  • Site-wide: 2,933
  • In public and global health: 94
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 37,105
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  • Site-wide: 32,452

Feasibility of controlling 2019-nCoV outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts

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  • Site-wide: 2,957
  • In public and global health: 95
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 28,612
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  • Site-wide: 31,965

The effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study

• Downloaded 3,759 times
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  • Site-wide: 3,026
  • In infectious diseases: 598
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 20,048
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  • Site-wide: 25,971

Comparative analysis of dengue and Zika outbreaks reveals differences by setting and virus

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  • Site-wide: 3,101
  • In ecology: 23
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 57,201
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  • Site-wide: 103,980

How many are at increased risk of severe COVID-19 disease? Rapid global, regional and national estimates for 2020

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  • Site-wide: 5,048
  • In epidemiology: 448
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 13,448
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  • Site-wide: 12,214

Response strategies for COVID-19 epidemics in African settings: a mathematical modelling study

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  • Site-wide: 5,673
  • In epidemiology: 481
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 47,628
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  • Site-wide: 48,319

Effectiveness of airport screening at detecting travellers infected with 2019-nCoV

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  • Site-wide: 6,150
  • In epidemiology: 504
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 54,513
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  • Site-wide: 58,638

Ethnic differences in COVID-19 infection, hospitalisation, and mortality: an OpenSAFELY analysis of 17 million adults in England

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  • Site-wide: 7,926
  • In epidemiology: 616
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 2,455
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  • Site-wide: 3,224

Interventions targeting air travellers early in the pandemic may delay local outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2

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  • Site-wide: 8,049
  • In epidemiology: 621
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 36,991
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  • Site-wide: 34,812

Reconstructing the global dynamics of under-ascertained COVID-19 cases and infections

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  • Site-wide: 9,312
  • In epidemiology: 693
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 10,389
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  • Site-wide: 27,764

Projecting contact matrices in 177 geographical regions: an update and comparison with empirical data for the COVID-19 era

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  • Site-wide: 12,556
  • In epidemiology: 851
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 3,406
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  • Site-wide: 3,260

Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of Ebola in the Western Area Region of Sierra Leone, 2014-15

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  • Site-wide: 16,378
  • In epidemiology: 1,030
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 60,416
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  • Site-wide: 63,556

The impact of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on health systems and household resources in Africa and South Asia

• Downloaded 1,109 times
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  • Site-wide: 18,204
  • In health economics: 31
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 33,205
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  • Site-wide: 30,029

HIV infection and COVID-19 death: population-based cohort analysis of UK primary care data and linked national death registrations within the OpenSAFELY platform

• Downloaded 1,017 times
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  • Site-wide: 20,687
  • In infectious diseases: 1,728
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 18,991
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  • Site-wide: 22,010

The contribution of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections to transmission - a model-based analysis of the Diamond Princess outbreak

• Downloaded 962 times
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  • Site-wide: 22,344
  • In infectious diseases: 1,784
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 40,923
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  • Site-wide: 39,877

Behavioural change towards reduced intensity physical activity is disproportionately prevalent among adults with serious health issues or self-perception of high risk during the UK COVID-19 lockdown.

• Downloaded 948 times
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  • Site-wide: 22,838
  • In infectious diseases: 1,799
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 42,822
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  • Site-wide: 45,123

Factors associated with deaths due to COVID-19 versus other causes: population-based cohort analysis of UK primary care data and linked national death registrations within the OpenSAFELY platform

• Downloaded 777 times
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  • Site-wide: 30,294
  • In infectious diseases: 2,109
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 1,757
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  • Site-wide: 2,292

The effect of inter-city travel restrictions on geographical spread of COVID-19: Evidence from Wuhan, China

• Downloaded 745 times
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  • Site-wide: 32,125
  • In epidemiology: 1,630
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 49,739
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  • Site-wide: 39,702

Effect of vaccinating health care workers to control Ebola virus disease: a modelling analysis of outbreak data

• Downloaded 743 times
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  • Site-wide: 32,243
  • In epidemiology: 1,637
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 59,005
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  • Site-wide: 73,993

Projecting the end of the Zika virus epidemic in Latin America: a modelling analysis

• Downloaded 697 times
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  • Site-wide: 35,230
  • In epidemiology: 1,726
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 125,080
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  • Site-wide: 117,665

Trust and Transparency in times of Crisis: Results from an Online Survey During the First Wave (April 2020) of the COVID-19 Epidemic in the UK

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  • Site-wide: 37,210
  • In public and global health: 551
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 11,606
• Since beginning of last month:
  • Site-wide: 11,769

OpenSAFELY NHS Service Restoration Observatory 1: describing trends and variation in primary care clinical activity for 23.3 million patients in England during the first wave of COVID-19

• Downloaded 637 times
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  • Site-wide: 39,653
  • In health systems and quality improvement: 48
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 2,329
• Since beginning of last month:
  • Site-wide: 5,330

Short-term forecasts to inform the response to the COVID-19 epidemic in the UK

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  • Site-wide: 39,974
  • In epidemiology: 1,912
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 9,234
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  • Site-wide: 15,882

Rates of serious clinical outcomes in survivors of hospitalisation with COVID-19: a descriptive cohort study within the OpenSAFELY platform

• Downloaded 615 times
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  • Site-wide: 41,480
  • In epidemiology: 1,967
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 2,442
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  • Site-wide: 18,152

Guiding Vaccine Efficacy Trial Design During Public Health Emergencies: An interactive web-based decision support tool

• Downloaded 597 times
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  • Site-wide: 43,025
  • In epidemiology: 2,035
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 75,538
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  • Site-wide: 67,962

Optimising social mixing strategies achieving COVID-19 herd immunity while minimising mortality in six European countries

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  • Site-wide: 44,047
  • In infectious diseases: 2,527
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 24,363
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  • Site-wide: 22,936

Real-time monitoring of COVID-19 dynamics using automated trend fitting and anomaly detection

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  • Site-wide: 47,957
  • In health informatics: 180
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 11,595
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  • Site-wide: 9,482

Changing travel patterns in China during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic

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  • Site-wide: 48,903
  • In public and global health: 664
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 73,103
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  • Site-wide: 71,576

Potential Test-Negative Design Study Bias in Outbreak Settings: Application to Ebola vaccination in Democratic Republic of Congo

• Downloaded 491 times
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  • Site-wide: 54,383
  • In epidemiology: 2,393
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 23,042
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  • Site-wide: 20,572

Detecting behavioural changes in human movement to inform the spatial scale of interventions against COVID-19

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  • Site-wide: 58,235
  • In epidemiology: 2,516
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 25,011
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  • Site-wide: 25,684

Influenza Interaction with Cocirculating Pathogens, and Its Impact on Surveillance, Pathogenesis and Epidemic Profile: A Key Role for Mathematical Modeling

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  • Site-wide: 59,234
  • In epidemiology: 2,563
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 93,639
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  • Site-wide: 121,231

Extremely high SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in a strictly-Orthodox Jewish community in the UK

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  • Site-wide: 62,390
  • In infectious diseases: 2,976
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 4,032
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  • Site-wide: 14,461

OpenSAFELY: impact of national guidance on switching from warfarin to direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in early phase of COVID-19 pandemic in England

• Downloaded 357 times
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  • Site-wide: 74,795
  • In cardiovascular medicine: 114
• Year to date:
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  • Site-wide: 17,143

Health impact and cost-effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccination in Sindh Province, Pakistan

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  • Site-wide: 75,348
  • In health economics: 92
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 5,413
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  • Site-wide: 2,472

CpG-creating Mutations are Costly in Many Human Viruses

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  • Site-wide: 78,155
  • In evolutionary biology: 4,274
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 92,805
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  • Site-wide: 95,423

Short report: Ethnicity and COVID-19 death in the early part of the COVID-19 second wave in England: an analysis of OpenSAFELY data from 1st September to 9th November 2020

• Downloaded 306 times
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  • Site-wide: 84,693
  • In infectious diseases: 3,462
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 6,710
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  • Site-wide: 22,730

OpenSAFELY: Risks of COVID-19 hospital admission and death for people with learning disabilities - a cohort study.

• Downloaded 217 times
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  • Site-wide: 104,174
  • In infectious diseases: 3,937
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 10,866
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  • Site-wide: 3,558

Changes in the rate of cardiometabolic and pulmonary events during the COVID-19 pandemic

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  • Site-wide: 109,930
  • In epidemiology: 4,528
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 12,829
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  • Site-wide: 22,147

Time use and social mixing during and around festive periods: Potential changes in the age distribution of COVID-19 cases from increased intergenerational interactions

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  • Site-wide: 121,300
  • In public and global health: 1,412
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 34,167
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  • Site-wide: 40,416

Predicting COVID-19 related death using the OpenSAFELY platform

• Downloaded 107 times
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  • Site-wide: 127,115
  • In infectious diseases: 4,552
• Year to date:
  • Site-wide: 26,228
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  • Site-wide: 9,523